Ситуация с мировой логистикой выравнивается
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Команда iStatist Согласно отчету Всемирного банка, основной причиной задержек в международных перевозках в 2022 году стали провалы в инфраструктуре портов, аэропортов и других логистических узлов. Чтобы справиться с проблемой в этом году, нужны крупные инвестиции в инфраструктуру, ускорение таможенных процедур и внедрение новых технологий отслеживания грузов.
Как показано исследование Всемирного банка, летом 2022 года более 12% контейнеров находились на судах в портах в ожидании разгрузки, которое могло растянуться от трех до девяти дней. Большая доля задержек приходится на порты Ближнего Востока и Африки.
Данные с начала 2022 года показывают, что среднее время задержки грузов составило три дня в Сингапуре и Индии, семь дней в США и десять дней в Германии. Нет информации о среднем времени задержки в России. Срок поставки по морю обычно составляет 44 дня со стандартным отклонением 10,5 дня. Из них только 60% времени занимает перевозка, а остальные 40% тратится на загрузку, разгрузку и перевалку.
Проблемы со сроками задержек грузов при экспорте чаще всего связаны с качеством логистики, а также с таможенным и валютным контролем.
Индекс «давления» на цепочки поставок достиг своего пика в конце 2021 года, соответствуя 4,3 стандартного отклонения от среднего в историческом контексте. Однако в марте 2022 года он снизился до 2,8 и к сентябрю стал почти нормальным (0,9), несмотря на новые ограничения в торговле с Россией и локдауны в китайских портах. Даже эти трудности не помешали ставке фрахта вернулись к уровню до пандемии.
Тем не менее, санкции привели к увеличению задержек в североевропейских портах, где действовали ограничения на деятельность российских судовладельцев. Крупные западные логистические компании также вынуждены были пересмотреть свои стратегии ввиду санкций в отношении РЖД, что привело к переносу транзитных железнодорожных перевозок грузов из Китая в Европу на морские поставки.
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